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Subject:
From:
Stötzer, Lukas <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Political Methodology Society <[log in to unmask]>, Stötzer, Lukas <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Wed, 28 Feb 2024 09:01:23 +0000
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The University of Witten/Herdecke (UW/H) is seeking to strengthen the team of the Professorship for Quantitative Methods (Professor Lukas Stoetzer) at the Faculty of Management, Economics and Society.



A position (full-time) as



**Post-doc (m/f/d)**



in the DFG project 'Election Forecasts for the German Federal Election 2025' is to be filled as soon as possible. The position is initially limited to three years, with the aim of long-term cooperation.



## The Project:



The Post-doc will work in the project funded by the German Research Foundation, 'Election Forecasts for the German Federal Election 2025'. Collaboration partners include, among others, the University of Mannheim and the Hertie School, Berlin. The project's goal is to forecast the 2025 German federal elections. It focuses on developing dynamic forecasting models, collecting and analysing primary and secondary data, and examining the impact of election forecasts on political behavior and attitudes. The project module based at the University of Witten/Herdecke deals with the development and improvement of forecasting models for the German federal elections. The aim is to provide predictions for various election outcomes, focusing on the methodological extension of existing models, the integration of constituency data, and the incorporation of coalition formation forecasts.



## Your Responsibilities:



* Research and Model Development:  Develop and apply advanced statistical models and machine learning algorithms to enhance the accuracy of election forecasts.

* Data Management and Analysis:  Contribute to the establishment and maintenance of a comprehensive database for election forecasts.

* Communication and Publication:  Write scientific articles, give presentations at conferences, and contribute to the public communication of the project.

* Collaboration with Project Partners:  Work closely with other project partners to integrate research approaches and create synergies.



## Your Profile:



* A completed doctorate in political science, statistics, economics, or a related field.

* Expertise in statistical modelling, machine learning, and data analysis.

* Experience in handling large datasets and proficiency in programming languages R or Python.

* A thorough understanding of political processes, ideally with a focus on German federal elections.

* Excellent communication skills and experience in collaborating within research teams.



We Offer:



* Payment according to German TV-L E13 Salary Scale (50'000 - 70'000 €)

* Work-life balance (flexible working hours)

* Option for remote work

* 30 days of annual leave and additional free bridge days; the 24th to 31st December and three bridge days are additionally non-working days

* Reimbursement of childcare costs up to €200 per month (dependent on salary level and age of the child)

* Company pension scheme and disability insurance

* An extensive training program

* Promotion of eco-friendly mobility (bicycle leasing, rental of electric cars, etc.)

* A discounted job ticket for public transport

* A wide range of culinary options in our cafeteria at employee prices

* Various sports offers for employees



## Application:



If interested, please send us your application documents by **05.04.2024** with the usual documents exclusively electronically via the application form on the website:



https://short.sg/j/42530117



For further information please contact Professor Lukas Stoetzer ([log in to unmask]<mailto:[log in to unmask]>).













Private Universität Witten/Herdecke gGmbH

Alfred-Herrhausen-Straße 50

D - 58448 Witten



Homepage: www.uni-wh.de<https://www.uni-wh.de>



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Geschäftsführung: Prof. Dr. Martin Butzlaff (Präsident), Dipl. oec. Jan Peter Nonnenkamp (Kanzler)



Sitz der Gesellschaft: Witten

Handelsregister des Amtsgerichts Bochum Nr. HRB 8671



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