The Miller Prize: The Miller Prize for is awarded for the best work appearing in Political Analysis the preceding year.
2012 Miller Prize Winners: Devin Caughey and Jasjeet S. Sekhon (University of California, Berkeley). 2011. "Elections and the Regression-Discontinuity Design: Lessons from Close U.S. House Races, 1942-2008." Political Analysis. 19(4):385-408.
Citation: Caughey and Sekhon challenge a canonical example of regression-discontinuity design (RDD), the use of the winner-loser voteshare cutoff point in close elections to the U.S. House of Representatives. Their thorough and careful analysis, with extended and corrected data, demonstrates imbalance and discontinuity in money and other pretreatment variables, establishing a compelling case that assumptions are violated and claims of validity cannot be supported in what was previously thought to be an ideal setting for RDD. The analysis has broad implications, calling into question not only the widespread use of close election designs, but laying out exacting empirical criteria for establishing the validity of any particular RDD. The selection committee was Burt Monroe, Justin Grimmer, David Nickerson, Greg Wawro. Please join the committee and me in congratulating the authors. (The prize will be formally awarded at the APSA 2012 Business Meeting of the Political Methodology Section.)
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Robert (Rob) J. Franzese, Jr.
Professor, Department of Political Science,
Research Professor, Center for Political Studies, I.S.R.,
The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
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President, The Society for Political Methodology
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Room 4246 Institute for Social Research
P.O. Box 1248 (for courier: 426 Thompson St.)
Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1248
office: 1-734-936-1850; fax: 1-734-764-3341
http://www-personal.umich.edu/~franzese
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