A few years ago, a (DARPA?) research project on prediction markets
recruited hundreds of political scientists to participate. Amongst their
materials were some excellent essays on how even expert social
scientists misinterpret basic probabilities. These were great essays for
teaching, but I've searching for weeks and cannot find them. Can anyone
provide the citation info on those pieces?
Apologies for the mass posting, but I'm at my wits end...and I think
these readings might be useful to any of us teaching intro stats or methods.
-Zak Taylor
--
Mark Zachary Taylor
Associate Professor
Sam Nunn School of International Affairs
Georgia Institute of Technology
781 Marietta Street NW
Atlanta, GA 30332-0610
http://www.inta.gatech.edu/people/faculty/mark-zachary-taylor
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