Dr. Robinson,
Political Analysis, Vol. 10, No. 1 has several articles plus
references to some others on analyzing multi-party aggregate data.
The seemingly unrelated regression version in several of the articles
is quite easy to set up in stata. I will be glad to offer advice if
you wish.
good luck with your project.
John Jackson
On May 19, 2009, at 9:12 PM, Geoffrey Robinson wrote:
> I have recently been engaged in an analysis of Australian electoral
> behaviour during the Great Depression. I have developed a database
> of the social composition of electoral districts (4 mutually
> exclusive groups: Catholic manual workers, Protestant manual
> workers, Employers + Self-employed, white-collar employees) and then
> used linear regression to develop estimates of levels of left party
> support among different social groups. The analysis is reported in a
> 2005 paper at SSHA and my recent book; When the Labor Party Dreams:
> Class, politics and politics in New South Wales 1930-32. However as
> electoral behaviour is highly polarised by class I suspect that a
> linear model overstates levels of left party support among workers
> and Catholics, the same problem that arises in the use of linear
> regression to analyse African-American voting. Thus I am attempting
> to use logistic regression.
>
> However I am at a loss to work out how to do this. Every source I
> can find on logistic regression refers to its use to analyse
> individual data. Can anyone point me in the direction of a how-to
> manual (preferably using SPSS) or offer some tips that explains the
> use of logistic regression to estimate individual voting behaviour
> from aggregate data?
>
> Geoff Robinson
>
> Dr Geoffrey Robinson
> Lecturer in History & Politics
> Faculty of Arts & Education
> Deakin University
> Pigdons Rd
> Geelong
> VIC 3217
> Australia
> Tel: +61 3 5227 1452
> Fax: +61 3 5227 3380
> Email: [log in to unmask]
> Web: http://geoffrobinson.info
> CRICOS Provider Code 00113B
>
>
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